fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. By May 21, 2021 0 . 0:00:00 The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? [00:00:19] Today those numbers have flipped. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." The crew discusses how Americans are feeling about COVID-19 and what types of restrictions they do and don't support after almost two years. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." Find us at ThisDayPod.com. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. This is the final episode. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. 266, the . You can't imitate a worldview. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. Edit your transcribed text. I'm Galen Truk. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. It's a busy week! They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. 3 min read. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. david senak now. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? 01:00 PM. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. All rights reserved. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. . The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. ( Businessweek) In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. No products in the cart. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. heritage commons university of utah. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. What does it take to make democracy work? The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling aggregation website with a blog created by analyst Nate Silver. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Feb. 25, 2021. info. MANAGER'S SALARY. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. American politics has changed a lot in the twenty years since the 9/11 terrorist attacks. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip.

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